Alright folks we have a stellar Light Heavyweight main event tonight from uf UFC Apex in Las Vegas as #1 Thiago Santos (-240) takes on #3 Glover Teixeira (+200). Lets get right into it. I LOVE Glover Teixeira tonight as a +200 dog. A really good way to make some dough for your family. We haven’t seen Thiago Santos in the octagon since he lost to Jon Jones on a torn ACL in July 2019. That’s over 500 days of in action for Santos, a big fella who is coming back against one of the best this division has ever seen. Since Santos’ last fight Teixeira is 3-0 in that time span, with wins against top ranked contenders, rocketing him up to #3 in the LHW rankings.
Glover Teixeira at 41 years old, is hitting a stride late in his MMA career. I think Santos has the explosive, youthful advantage here, but over 500 days out of the octagon is hard to tell what he will look like. I do ultimately see Glover Teixeira finishing this fight on the ground by submission. I have nothing but respect for the guy. He’s still hungry and he seemingly shows up every time. Wear Santos out, or let Santos wear himself out, try to avoid absorbing the big shots, and that will give him the opportunity to clip him and get him down or take him down later in the fight. Teixeira by submission in the 3rd round.
The rest of this card is actually pretty dam solid. We got some biiig heavys in the co main between Andrei Arlovski and Tanner Boser. I like Boser at -300 winning this one, but do not blink, these guys are going to swing for the fences.
I like #15 Middleweight Ian Heinisch as a -105 tonight against a dangerous Brendan Allen, might want to stay away from this one, but im high on Heinisch.
The women’s Strawweight fight to open to main card is going to be a banger. #4 Claudia Gadelha and #8 Yan Xiaonan is a great matchup. I like Xiaonan as a -160 favorite tonight. Yan will be trying to become just the third female fighter to begin her UFC career 6-0.
Overall a great main card tonight. Its going to be a late one for my fellow east coast folks. It starts at 10:00 pm on ESPN and ESPN+. LETS WATCH SOME CHAOS
