HOT HOT Gambling Locks (9/4)

stephendataviz

💰4-0 Record Last Night | 7-0 Last 2 Days💰

9/3 Picks:
⚾️ARI/LAD 1st 5 Under 5 (-135) *WINNER*
🏀DEN 1st Q +4 (-130) *WINNER*
🏀TOR 1st Quarter Under 28.5 (-130) *WINNER*
🏀TOR/BOS Under 217 (-110) *WINNER*

9/2 Picks:
⚾️TOR/MIA Under 7.5 (-125) *WINNER*
🏀MIL 1st Q Under 29.5 (-120) *WINNER*
🏀OKC +5.5 (-115) *WINNER*

Today’s Locks (9/4)

NBA: Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks

Game Details: Milwaukee Bucks (-5) vs Miami Heat | O/U 223 | 6 PM ET | TNT

Bet: MIL -1.5 1st Quarter (-120)

Giannis is still the two time MVP – let’s not allow the shortsightedness of the last 2 games cloud our judgement. I expect the Bucks to come out red hot and put it on the Heat early.

The Bucks have the best 1st quarter playoff defensive rating (95.6) & the 4th best net rating (10.3). Granted these numbers could be skewed due to playing the Magic, but I believe these numbers are closer to the norm than last game.

The Bucks will come out firing on all cylinders this 1st quarter, book it.

twins.tigers

Game Details: Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins (-160) | Game 1 Of Double Header (7 Innings) | O/U 6.5

Bet: Tigers ML (+139)

The Tigers bats have been red hot for the past 2 weeks, while the Twins bats have looked ice cold. Take a look at the last 7 & last 14 day splits.

Tigers Last 7 Days: .532 Slugging | .385 OBP | .381 BABIP
Twins Last 7 Days: .362 Slugging | .278 OBP | .250 BABIP

Tigers Last 14 Days: .511 Slugging | .369 OBP | .377 BABIP
Twins Last 14 Day: .385 Slugging | .306 OBP | .289 BABIP

A few more stats to note. The Tigers will be facing RHP Randy Dobnak & the Twins will be facing LHP Matthew Boyd. The Tigers are solid vs RHP (.425 slugging) & the Twins are not very solid vs LHP this season (.349 slugging).

Both bullpens have been very good over the last 14 days (Tigers ERA: 3.86 & Twins ERA: 4.20) – I view this as a push.

The last point I will make is we are getting very good odds betting the Tigers. This seems like it should be much closer to a pick-em game but most books have it closer to +140.

I will be updating this blog with more bets as the day progresses. Lot’s of action today – dont miss out on FREE $$$$.

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Featured Images: NBA.com | overthespread365.com
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