HOT HOT Gambling Picks (9/3)

stephendataviz

đź’°4-0 Record Tonightđź’°

Details: Arizona Diamondbacks @ LA Dodgers (-1.5) | 8½ O/U | 9:40 ET

Bet: ARI/LAD 1st 5 Under 5 (-135) *WINNER*

Details: Denver Nuggets (-9.5) vs LA Clippers (-9.5) | 223 O/U | 9:00 ET | TNT

Bet: DEN 1st Q +4 (-130) *WINNER*

Reason: DEN is coming off an all time high with their win in game 7. Some may think they will be emotionally exhausted but I think they will come out rolling, using the momentum they’ve built. The Clippers haven’t played since Monday, so I’m thinking they will need the 1st quarter to get back into rhythm.

The Nuggets will come out hot, whether they hold on to that fire is debatable. I like them in the 1st quarter of this game, lock it in.

Details: Toronto Raptors (-2.5) vs Boston Celtics | 217 O/U | 6:30 ET | TNT

Bet: TOR 1st Quarter Under 28.5 (-130) *WINNER*

Reason: If you look at 1st quarter stats (see below) – Boston plays at one of the slowest paces in the NBA (98.33). TOR has an average pace, but I expect BOS to take command of the pace early. If we look at recent trends, TOR has scored 23 & 28 in the 1st q in this series. I expect a similar outcome.

NBA 9.3

Bet: TOR/BOS Under 217 (-110) *WINNER*

Reason: Similar to the thought process above, I think the Celtics will slow down the pace & the Raptors will be just fine with that. As you can see in the screenshot below – BOS plays at one of the slowest paces in the NBA. A few other key notes for this game: TOR under is 4-1 in last 5 playoff games they were they favorite & the line has shifted from 215 to the current 217.

NBA 9.32

NBA 9.33

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Featured Image: (Michael Dwyer/AP)

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