Footie Gambling Extravaganza – FREE PICKS (7/8)

stephendataviz

Game 1: Cagliari vs Fiorentina (Italy Serie A)

7.8.2

Game Details: 1:30 ET on ESPN+

Analysis:

  • Cagliari: 3 of 4 last games have gone under 2.5
  • Fiorentina has scored 1 goal or less in 5 of last 6 games
  • Fiorentina has an xG (expected goals) of 42.8 (10th overall) & Cagliari has an xG of 35.1 (15th overall) – this tells us that neither team has particularly great chances to score

Pick: Cagliari/Fiorentina Under 2.5 (+104)

7.8

Game 2: Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove

brighton

Game Details: 3: 15 ET on NBC Sports

Analysis:

  • Liverpool has given up 0 goals in 3 of last 4 games
  • Brighton has scored 0 goals in 4 of last 6 games
  • Brighton’s xG is a poor 37.4 – 13th overall
  • Liverpool is Top 5 in xGA (expected goals allowed) with 34.5

Pick: Brighton Under .5 (+142)

7.8 EPL

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